Daily Recession Index Archive

R-Word Index dropped 8 points to 64 — biggest drop in weeks. Still High Concern, but the trend is finally moving the right way. People are s…

72. The R-Word Index climbed back near its peak after a brief easing. High Concern. The Fed says the job market is "low hire, low fire." Onl…

R-Word Index up to 68 — High Concern. Stocks had their best week since November. The index went the other way. Wall Street rallied. Main Str…

R-Word Index: 73 → 67 → 65 in three days. Still High Concern, but easing. Iran deadline today, oil past $120, CPI due this week — and yet th…

178K jobs added in March — a strong headline. But the R-Word Index only dipped to 67. Still High Concern. People read past headlines. They s…

R-Word Index at 73 — High Concern for six days. Oil past $120 from the Hormuz crisis, inflation heading toward 4%, and today's jobs report c…

Five straight days above 70. R-Word Index at 71 — High Concern. What stands out: people are not writing about markets or tariffs. They are w…

"Liberation Day" tariffs just landed — 25% average across nearly all imports. Markets in freefall. Our R-Word Index was already at 71 before…

73 on the R-Word Index — the highest we have recorded. High Concern. The conversations are not about big economic shocks anymore. They are a…

CNN asks "A recession is guaranteed — but when?" Meanwhile, 65% of people in a March survey expect one within 12 months. Our R-Word Index bo…

R-Word Index dipped from 64 to 59. Still Elevated. The conversations shifted from abstract fear to practical questions — how to cut costs, w…

R-Word Index yesterday: 64 — High Concern. Inflation anxiety and job security worries are driving the spike. In the past week, our index jum…