R-Word Index

Daily Recession Pulse

Recession Index for : 47 (Elevated)

47

R-Word Index

Elevated
Re-scored · v1-2026-04-14 · unchanged

The R-Word Index closed at 47 on , placing public recession concern in the Elevated band. That's down 6 points from a week earlier, when the index was 53. The index is a daily 0–100 signal derived from public human-authored writing online, not from media headlines or official indicators.

What the data shows

The Take Recession concern is holding at elevated levels, with deeper anxiety showing up in subtler language rather than blunt talk.

What's Happening The R-Word Index ticked up to 47 today, keeping sentiment in the elevated zone even as raw mentions of “recession” drop. This gap signals that worry is being woven into conversations through context—like uncertainty over job security, company layoffs, and higher grocery bills—rather than direct economic predictions. Stories about major layoffs at companies like Pixar and shifts in everyday habits such as grocery shopping are fueling unease, even if people aren't using the "R-word" itself.

Compared to last week, overall concern has cooled off, but today’s uptick shows that anxiety is lingering and moving beneath the surface. The fact that the AI-powered signal is running much higher than the keyword count suggests that people are expressing their doubts and stress in nuanced ways, perhaps reflecting fatigue with economic buzzwords but not with the underlying worry.

Looking Ahead If economic stressors like layoffs and inflation keep dominating daily life, expect this elevated concern to stick around—possibly bubbling up more directly if any shocks hit.

This reflects public sentiment, not economic conditions.

Why this matters today

The Fed decides Wednesday — a fifth straight hold is the consensus, and futures put 82% odds on a September hike, not a cut. The R-Word Index enters the week at 47, Elevated, up a second day from Thursday's three-month low. https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=pro.goatgame.rwindex #Recession

Posted on @R_World_Index on .

How this compares

A week earlier the index was 53. That's a drop of 6 points over seven days.

The last two weeks

The R-Word Index is built from public human-authored writing — not media headlines. How this index is calculated.

A new daily reading — with the headline takeaway — is posted every morning on X. Follow @R_World_Index to catch the next update before it lands here.

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