R-Word Index

Daily Recession Pulse

Recession Index for : 55 (Elevated)

55

R-Word Index

Elevated
Re-scored · v1-2026-04-14 · unchanged

The R-Word Index closed at 55 on , placing public recession concern in the Elevated band. That's up 4 points from a week earlier, when the index was 51. The index is a daily 0–100 signal derived from public human-authored writing online, not from media headlines or official indicators.

What the data shows

The Take Recession concern is holding steady at an elevated level, driven more by worried tones and analogy than by explicit recession talk.

What's Happening Even though the index level hasn’t budged from yesterday, the mood is clearly strained. People aren’t shouting “recession” outright, but you can feel the anxiety in how topics are being framed: rising rates, layoffs, and job prospects for new grads are all being described in ways that echo past downturns. The biggest signal: concern is moving in the texture of conversations more than in raw word counts—the AI-powered index is far higher than what pure keyword tracking shows.

Recent stories—like the Federal Reserve’s rate hike and headlines about job struggles in tech and manufacturing—are sparking comparisons to earlier recessions, even if the word itself isn’t trending. This suggests people are internalizing recession threats, talking about them through examples and repercussions instead of labeling them directly.

Looking Ahead Unless headlines shift to something more reassuring, don’t expect sentiment to cool—worry is deeply baked into how people are processing current events right now.

This reflects public sentiment, not economic conditions.

Why this matters today

Rate hikes, layoffs, new-grad job hunts: today's threads measure them against past downturns. The S&P 500's CAPE ratio sits near 41, topped once in 150 years, at 44.2 in Nov 1999. R-Word Index: 55, Elevated. https://rwindex.app #StockMarket

Posted on @R_World_Index on .

How this compares

A week earlier the index was 51. That's a rise of 4 points over seven days.

The last two weeks

The R-Word Index is built from public human-authored writing — not media headlines. How this index is calculated.

A new daily reading — with the headline takeaway — is posted every morning on X. Follow @R_World_Index to catch the next update before it lands here.

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