R-Word Index

Daily Recession Pulse

Recession Index for : 58 (Elevated)

58

R-Word Index

Elevated
Re-scored · v1-2026-04-14 · unchanged
This is a historical readingSee today's R-Word Index — currently 55 (Elevated)

The R-Word Index closed at 58 on , placing public recession concern in the Elevated band. That's up 11 points from a week earlier, when the index was 47. The index is a daily 0–100 signal derived from public human-authored writing online, not from media headlines or official indicators.

What the data shows

The Take Recession worry is cooling slightly but remains stuck in an elevated zone, with layoff anxiety and tech job fears dominating the conversation.

What's Happening Concern dropped modestly from yesterday’s high, but everyday talk is still charged with job loss headlines—especially around layoffs at major tech companies like Oracle and TikTok, and warnings of mass unemployment linked to AI. There’s also a growing undercurrent about recession risks in higher education jobs. The gap between subtle recession talk and blunt keyword spikes is the widest it’s been in a week, signaling that people are airing their worry in more nuanced ways, not just shouting “recession” but discussing layoffs and future job risks with more context and emotion.

This persistent, context-driven anxiety keeps the index above its recent average, even as some immediate panic fades. Despite the dip, the tone online remains brittle—headlines may come and go, but the sense of uncertainty is sticking around.

Looking Ahead Unless layoff chatter dies down or bigger economic headlines shift the mood, expect concern to hover at current levels. The conversation feels restless, with underlying job fears likely to keep worry elevated for now.

This reflects public sentiment, not economic conditions.

Why this matters today

July had the fewest US job cuts announced in two years: 33,429. AI was the stated reason for a third of them, fifth straight month it led. Threads track the reason, not the total. R-Word Index: 58, Elevated, first down day in seven. https://apps.apple.com/us/app/r-word-index-recession-pulse/id6760947480 #Recession

Posted on @R_World_Index on .

How this compares

A week earlier the index was 47. That's a rise of 11 points over seven days.

The last two weeks

The R-Word Index is built from public human-authored writing — not media headlines. How this index is calculated.

A new daily reading — with the headline takeaway — is posted every morning on X. Follow @R_World_Index to catch the next update before it lands here.

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