R-Word Index

Daily Recession Pulse

Recession Index for : 55 (Elevated)

55

R-Word Index

Elevated
Re-scored · v1-2026-04-14 · unchanged

The R-Word Index closed at 55 on , placing public recession concern in the Elevated band. That's up 2 points from a week earlier, when the index was 53. The index is a daily 0–100 signal derived from public human-authored writing online, not from media headlines or official indicators.

What the data shows

The Take Recession worry remains elevated, but it’s running deeper in the tone of conversation than in the actual use of recession buzzwords.

What's Happening Even as the index eased slightly from yesterday, concern is still above normal and sits squarely in the elevated zone. What’s striking is the gap between what people are saying and how they’re saying it: while raw mentions of “recession” and related terms have dropped sharply, the primary signal shows that anxiety is still threading through discussions—just in more subtle ways. People are talking about layoffs, rising credit card debt, and fears of AI-driven job loss without always using explicit “recession” language.

The main themes fueling this mood are headlines about layoffs in tech and higher education, dire warnings from big names about automation and unemployment, and a surge in credit card debt. The conversation has shifted from direct recession talk to stories about job cuts and financial stress, which means concern is moving in the texture of conversations more than in raw word counts.

Looking Ahead With underlying anxiety running higher than surface-level chatter, expect recession concern to stay sticky—especially if stories of layoffs and debt keep dominating feeds.

This reflects public sentiment, not economic conditions.

Why this matters today

Layoff threads gave way to credit card threads this week. The 12.8% of balances 90+ days late is partly an artifact — 80% of charged-off debt still sits on reports a year later, vs 40% pre-2012. R-Word Index: 55, Elevated. https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=pro.goatgame.rwindex #Recession

Posted on @R_World_Index on .

How this compares

A week earlier the index was 53. That's a rise of 2 points over seven days.

The last two weeks

The R-Word Index is built from public human-authored writing — not media headlines. How this index is calculated.

A new daily reading — with the headline takeaway — is posted every morning on X. Follow @R_World_Index to catch the next update before it lands here.

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